TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed No8c19,625$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.311837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f5d…7be1backed No24c10,750$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed No7c8,202$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.886219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes76c5,102$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.3820238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c4,578$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.465679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes23c4,355$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.818629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…e253backed Yes77c4,150$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d4…209bbacked Yes76c3,800$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No6c3,404$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes45c3,038$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.2917648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes9c3,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73015044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292d…8cd5backed Yes76c2,800$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No20c2,713$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.169045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No12c2,565$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31970%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No3c2,178$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.76030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes74c2,170$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.934440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No14c1,767$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.766949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c1,676$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No11c1,637$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.887910.1%8 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No5c1,590$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.823024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…8253backed Yes8c1,426$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.681637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes17c1,103$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.4321227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No7c1,082$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4110731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No10c1,012$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.691444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No4c1,008$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.965024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No20c999.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.084712.8%6 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes33c954.04$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.285930.5%18 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No7c947.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8109…2153backed No6c833.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No8c819.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No6c817.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.11812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-62%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked Yes75c800.03$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5812100%12 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc72d…320fbacked Yes11c798.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.072722.2%6 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed No26c745.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.892321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No19c742.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.596339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x933e…0c93backed No6c701.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5160%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No21c693.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.03674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No43c672.38$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked No12c651.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.142814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No10c645.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.361080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No8c621.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.02370%0 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66c…4ab1backed No2c586.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No8c514.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.38362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f75…550abacked No6c512.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed Yes72c508.45$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.932272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1980%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No10c485.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.615824.1%14 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No32c476.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b68…071abacked No7c461.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes77c429.13$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No33c412.29$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.828535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8668…eebfbacked No9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed Yes24c390.93$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.063125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc396…27a2backed No6c390.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes9c373.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes17c350.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.295341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No4c343$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+102.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No40c331.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No13c315.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8436826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes65c265$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.293735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af7…4983backed Yes58c253.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No26c249.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42478.5%4 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed No9c227.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No15c215.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8703…dbf1backed No7c211.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes28c205.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5210434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes52c179.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5429439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030e…20ebbacked Yes76c131.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.253231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes60c124$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.124434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca9…fd39backed Yes75c117.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked No9c111.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-87.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107627.6%21 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.385145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…4738backed Yes54c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab2…9490backed No11c98.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes14c93.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2534349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8c…2ce1backed Yes57c87.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes68c72.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.996550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c03abacked Yes55c67.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2648847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b9…522ebacked No45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No24c55.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3214926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd2…5e03backed No47c50.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8be…a268backed Yes68c50.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa2…05aabacked Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb444…8d66backed Yes54c45.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616a…fa15backed No47c44.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f27…d37ebacked No37c44.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…9ae0backed Yes53c43.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No33c43.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf563…a5b4backed Yes28c42.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ea…f07dbacked Yes55c41.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes51c38.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8615144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa84d…c735backed No47c37.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No40c36.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7914837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.