NFL · resolved market

Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x883cbce45c345b998e08e63a04a0e85fc5c5c1eca7d0564fd725238bd73298a7

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $712,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $641,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,513 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes	8c	9,744$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.35	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	11c	9,216$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.45	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e9…f062backed Yes	1c	9,150$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30eb…c1c9backed Yes	1c	9,150$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	8,488$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.39	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	15c	7,388$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.38	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	0c	5,472$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes	8c	5,375$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.91	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…1a72backed Yes	1c	5,050$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca51…2b85backed Yes	1c	5,050$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba1…02b3backed Yes	0c	4,542$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	4c	4,099$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-81%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	2c	4,090$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.17	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	11c	4,048$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.17	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cb…4e22backed Yes	3c	3,966$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	13c	3,755$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.63	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a76…a1eebacked Yes	2c	3,677$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4b…4053backed Yes	2c	3,650$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes	13c	3,417$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.33	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c47…4275backed Yes	2c	3,367$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8499…83a8backed Yes	37c	3,359$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes	3c	3,139$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf35…8c96backed Yes	2c	3,097$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…9150backed Yes	1c	2,978$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad2…2a57backed Yes	1c	2,837$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3f…0f7bbacked Yes	2c	2,717$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-63%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefc…c227backed Yes	2c	2,659$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.86	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d78…2c7fbacked Yes	1c	2,433$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x852a…1b2ebacked Yes	1c	2,409$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3909…036cbacked Yes	2c	2,310$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314f…8d80backed Yes	2c	2,250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.11	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…cc63backed Yes	2c	2,065$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b81…b5f4backed Yes	1c	2,031$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e97…a777backed Yes	2c	1,961$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	1,955$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	5c	1,941$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b3…fe2bbacked Yes	2c	1,936$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes	15c	1,888$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.88	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	1,848$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes	1c	1,806$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,712$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea7…d642backed Yes	2c	1,676$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d50…0ee7backed Yes	2c	1,614$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951d…6f88backed Yes	1c	1,579$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Yes	14c	1,563$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…8051backed Yes	2c	1,552$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13d…e60ebacked Yes	2c	1,542$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…b408backed Yes	2c	1,504$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…7b8abacked Yes	9c	1,500$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccb…59fabacked Yes	2c	1,479$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No	76c	1,459$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.42	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes	45c	1,443$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe312…6b25backed Yes	1c	1,434$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17dc…aff8backed Yes	3c	1,371$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes	1c	1,350$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf495…9bc6backed Yes	2c	1,275$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfb…b9bcbacked Yes	2c	1,275$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	2c	1,261$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc59…da51backed Yes	2c	1,260$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…4700backed Yes	3c	1,255$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b61…f554backed Yes	1c	1,251$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-44%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	1,249$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…16e0backed Yes	2c	1,201$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02d…44d5backed Yes	2c	1,191$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580b…9a2cbacked Yes	2c	1,190$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9090…66a9backed Yes	1c	1,184$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca24…df80backed Yes	2c	1,183$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	11c	1,182$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.93	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12bc…ccb6backed Yes	1c	1,172$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	1c	1,148$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d8…a49abacked Yes	1c	1,129$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e1…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	1,125$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	31cpaid	-86%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd93…49e9backed Yes	1c	1,124$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x861a…bf65backed Yes	1c	1,115$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	19c	1,099$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.1	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4895…bd59backed Yes	2c	1,071$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…d28cbacked Yes	1c	1,037$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4581…aed6backed Yes	1c	1,032$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Yes	24c	1,025$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	8c	988.55$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.84	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59d9…19dcbacked Yes	2c	980$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	972.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e65…2a26backed Yes	3c	971$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	11c	940.63$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.19	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes	27c	899.99$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.13	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc59…f9f5backed Yes	1c	896$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-69%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2b…c2b0backed Yes	15c	872.58$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4f…cb76backed Yes	1c	863$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e94…dcf6backed Yes	2c	858$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7d…8011backed Yes	1c	852$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ff…922bbacked Yes	1c	852$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Yes	35c	845.33$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.11	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	65cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb1…7695backed Yes	3c	842$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7e…3935backed Yes	3c	842$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32fa…5e64backed Yes	3c	842$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…9ea2backed Yes	3c	842$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	2c	833.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x652e…9bdebacked Yes	3c	824$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d66…7a3fbacked Yes	3c	824$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ed…1292backed Yes	3c	824$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event