TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Ashton Jeanty be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c13,916$81 inLost-$81.2821227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,534$19 inLost-$18.875679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…a5d5backed Yes2c1,358$23 inLost-$22.811933.6%40 W · 79 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes2c1,227$24 inLost-$24.2318629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes2c761.78$13 inLost-$13.1560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edf…3ff9backed Yes27c738.39$200 inLost-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf490…727cbacked Yes29c679.42$194 inLost-$194.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No71c300$213 inWon+$8713217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes20c290$58 inLost-$58.1620238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No71c270$192 inWon+$78.322434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes13c217$29 inLost-$28.8814342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes21c216$45 inLost-$45.368428.6%24 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes8c200$15 inLost-$1512147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…d9f6backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$206651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No77c101$78 inWon+$23.231384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes23c101$23 inLost-$23.231811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Yes14c87.2$12 inLost-$12.09825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No80c69.13$55 inWon+$13.958037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No70c26$18 inWon+$7.828151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No70c20$14 inWon+$62653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b1…7dc3backed No70c20$14 inWon+$6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.