TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2230…a66c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
352
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$806.83
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.54
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+125.4%+$66.43
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$8.27
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+336.2%+$36.88
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.37
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.23
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.78
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+97.9%+$41.92
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+45%+$46.43
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+579.4%+$122.69
Giants vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.62
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.4
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.66
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+55.7%+$50.2
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$12.5
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$13.14
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.18
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$27.75
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+123.1%+$67.93
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.78
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+104.8%+$31.32
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.61
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117%+$1,178.57
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.7%+$170.37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$178.23
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$37.92
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.2%+$31.21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.96
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$10.99
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$24.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.59
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+98.1%+$400.76
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.5%+$1,072.02
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.56
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.2
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.61
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+99.3%+$235.49
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+256%+$669.52
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.99
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.8
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$19.8
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.19
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST2965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.81
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.14
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.68
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.4
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.8%+$1,129.87
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+169.4%+$56.59
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$56.27
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$322.9
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+79.4%+$168.2
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.58
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.8
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$370.86
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.63
Kings vs. Wildbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.41
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+118%+$1,097.93
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+28%+$149.83
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$102.04
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$46.54
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+30%+$26.55
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$39.6
Blue Jackets vs. Predatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.27
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$30.84
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+78.4%+$43.97
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.35
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$10.88
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$25.74
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+73.7%+$22.14
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.28
Will the JA21 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.7
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$5.02
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.9%+$389.73
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$64.48
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$557.56
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.02
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.8
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$623.16
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+484.1%+$185.1
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$133.88
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.6%+$30.07
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.29
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+632.4%+$167.08
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$370.81
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+203%+$265.57
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$300.57
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.51
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.6%+$17.94
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.35
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$22.27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$121.15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+164.1%+$761.09
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$22.93
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$5.23
US strikes Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$32.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.6%+$186.31
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$36.38
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.43
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$35.53
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$226.84
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$829.39
Israel strikes Yemen again by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.91
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.56
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$26.56
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$33.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$119
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.88
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+268.9%+$1,285.77
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+116.2%+$72.55
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.24
Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$80.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$179.25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$362.57
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$79.39
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.26
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.31
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Schultz vs. Mingajbacked Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.74
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$228.99
Luna vs. Vologdinbacked Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.31
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.09
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.21
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$31.95
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$68.8
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$190.46
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.61
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.49
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Klose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+103.6%+$134.37
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.59
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.37
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore backed Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaevbacked Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$27.36
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Souzabacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$6.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.75
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.4%+$8.61
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.55
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$186.85
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.3
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.82
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$905.45
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.82
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$85.12
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.07
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$213.92
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+157.1%+$34.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.58
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.36
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.92
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$453.18
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+101.4%+$12.89
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$124.63
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$68.16
Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.53
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$120
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.48
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.72
Will Napoli vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21.99
Will Slavia Praha vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.89
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$303.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.98
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+355.9%+$86.42
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$84.77
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+250.4%+$359.14
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.87
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$26.47
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$8.94
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naples: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69%+$14.78
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.96
Chengdu Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.57
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.83
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$54.28
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.96
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$3.28
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$3.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.09
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+76.6%+$162.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.4%+$52.46
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.22
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.72
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$35.68
Fed rate cut by December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+72.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75%+$7.86
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.01
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-9.5)backed Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+176.9%+$18.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.15
Mercury vs Mysticsbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+204.8%+$20.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.