Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6580fe8ad33ab577272938a2a0432b51592fdc4682feb6fdf98a6bdd040431bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 37c | 515,679$190,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,152.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 63c | 135,100$85,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,987 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 64c | 60,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 8,920$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.44 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 2,858$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 62c | 2,207$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.7 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 1,652$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.2 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 1,243$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 62c | 1,036$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.07 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 62c | 1,016$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 655.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 635.34$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 594.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Yes | 17c | 360.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 62c | 356.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 64c | 297$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 68c | 248.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 63c | 203.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 62c | 174.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 42c | 162.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 62c | 135$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 121.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…fe3dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 63c | 44.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 61c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 56c | 28.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.