TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4992…6f5cbacked No48c28,303$13,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,487.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6006149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c15,395$6,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,639.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked No61c14,385$8,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,725.472556%14 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes54c7,589$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.032429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a25…2a5fbacked No74c5,483$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.3530%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes71c5,056$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.692540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce2…5d4ebacked Yes67c4,300$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes29c4,262$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.1810848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes29c4,138$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.939636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No40c4,111$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.0651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No40c3,424$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.152123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes59c3,200$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.5536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No30c3,178$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.184454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f68…f736backed Yes76c3,084$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No25c2,795$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.7530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes26c2,516$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Yes52c2,312$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked No57c2,255$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.234264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No53c2,200$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1644139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,050$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes29c1,897$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.554447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c1,768$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.251,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes29c1,733$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.865637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No38c1,633$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.5625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No66c1,612$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No71c1,587$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.4210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.592030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes66c1,360$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No36c1,315$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3615049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c1,257$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.351,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c1,168$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.3442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c1,129$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.0568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No45c1,086$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes29c1,073$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2052…529fbacked No72c1,069$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.96540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes49c1,017$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No71c989.86$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.87256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes70c946.07$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.073135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes27c934.49$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.1831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked No50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No67c890.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No27c818.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6735758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes57c786.9$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.087835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No46c749.73$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.882737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No71c713.05$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2710455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6614544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c659.85$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa969…3501backed Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No30c621.42$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No38c510$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.097139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes62c510$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No62c482.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No72c450.88$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.633354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked No73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes52c409.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.72060%12 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed No74c405$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.72755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No5c400.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No27c370.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No39c370$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.034963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x647e…dd9bbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes29c349.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.867534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61b…ff04backed Yes61c327.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No72c300.57$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes53c282.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.731850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes28c271.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.356344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes53c267.74$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.848365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No71c267.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8421154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes28c251.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c246.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.684,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed No50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No64c232.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5817153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes63c228.53$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8313342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes28c220.71$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9129238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No48c217.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes27c213.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No47c213.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No55c208.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8313727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.361441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes68c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.54637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1429738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No36c197.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes26c195$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.326247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.