TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c6a…d6ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+36.5%+$127.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$154.92
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$168.15
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$604.42
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,614.45
Will Manchester United vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$115.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.81
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$187.28
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.48
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$292.14
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.79
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$143.56
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21.23
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Portugal win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+400%+$622.8
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Bolivia win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Will Jordan win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.43
All 20 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$214.5
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36.56
Will Nashville SC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.2
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+49%+$49.03
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$358.59
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+41%+$163.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$54.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$535.62
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$113.27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$54.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.