Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c4d456ad4b2ace5fc04d9e24148e405fe3e05258cda02158c785a006a9d196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 1,381$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.62 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 43c | 798.51$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.15 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 42c | 705.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 57c | 595$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 21c | 538.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 405.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 51c | 382.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 58c | 277.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 268.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…38c0backed Yes | 55c | 221$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 58c | 200.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…05b0backed No | 47c | 181.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…0d14backed No | 47c | 175.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 58c | 172.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 58c | 160.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 42c | 149.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 79c | 126.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…d1bbbacked Yes | 57c | 121.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…2fd2backed Yes | 53c | 117.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…b9c0backed Yes | 56c | 117.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 60c | 106.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…2e61backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 26c | 85.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 61c | 83.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 58c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 24c | 67.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 55c | 63.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 26c | 61.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed No | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 43c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…fa6cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 58c | 22.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 58c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.