Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e7582312db8e4a8c34b5c5be4031405e6c581be8a6984b6c1d62960b873b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 774.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Yes | 53c | 713$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 354.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 18c | 324.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 58c | 298.47$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 51c | 285.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…38c0backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 14c | 81.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 53c | 79.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…9767backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…78f9backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.