TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe742…e16c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.49
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$23.5
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+55.4%+$48.7
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.84
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$40.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+43%+$15.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.89
LoL: Los Heretics vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$13.8
LoL: Geekay vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5)backed Geekay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.2
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.42
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$84.97
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$30.75
Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$7.57
Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$47.42
Warriors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$101.38
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$16.63
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.7%+$17.01
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+194.2%+$130.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$21.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.