Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ef58228e1cb7c97a71e504cf424d62aaab798420eda8474d3631cd7de86e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonegoof Musetti, Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sonego | 36c | 8,482$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.2 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Sonego | 11c | 6,085$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.15 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Musetti | 72c | 5,070$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.7 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Sonego | 28c | 4,721$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.96 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sonego | 58c | 4,565$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.77 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sonego | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Musetti | 75c | 3,994$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Musetti | 74c | 3,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Musetti | 76c | 3,317$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Musetti | 76c | 3,298$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.34 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Sonego | 21c | 3,127$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.79 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Musetti | 72c | 2,440$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.65 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Sonego | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Sonego | 55c | 1,451$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.28 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Sonego | 51c | 1,409$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.08 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sonego | 28c | 1,400$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.42 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sonego | 32c | 1,275$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Musetti | 17c | 1,198$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 64c | 1,164$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Musetti | 72c | 1,160$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.41 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Sonego | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Musetti | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked Musetti | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…61f7backed Sonego | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +146%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4b75backed Musetti | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Sonego | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21c…2585backed Sonego | 26c | 972$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Sonego | 22c | 867.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…63fdbacked Musetti | 74c | 860$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…7ef5backed Sonego | 26c | 846$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…f8b1backed Musetti | 74c | 846$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…8fa9backed Musetti | 74c | 826$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Musetti | 78c | 825.71$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Musetti | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…4e08backed Sonego | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a58ebacked Musetti | 26c | 787.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…eca0backed Musetti | 74c | 786$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sonego | 30c | 776.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.65 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Sonego | 25c | 753.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sonego | 23c | 730.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.14 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c84…d048backed Sonego | 26c | 700$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed Musetti | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…26b2backed Musetti | 75c | 667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Sonego | 27c | 662.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Musetti | 8c | 618.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Musetti | 77c | 617.81$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.71 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Musetti | 77c | 617.39$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.39 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Musetti | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Sonego | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Musetti | 55c | 548.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 70c | 544.74$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0da7backed Musetti | 76c | 521.83$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…0d98backed Musetti | 77c | 520.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…e9ebbacked Musetti | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sonego | 28c | 473$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Sonego | 28c | 437.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Sonego | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Musetti | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Musetti | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked Musetti | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…da80backed Musetti | 73c | 358$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…cc81backed Sonego | 27c | 357.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Musetti | 3c | 353.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Sonego | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Musetti | 74c | 316$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.84 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Sonego | 65c | 307.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Musetti | 48c | 304.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…97b5backed Sonego | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Musetti | 59c | 259$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Musetti | 15c | 253.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Musetti | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sonego | 24c | 242.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed Musetti | 10c | 230.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sonego | 23c | 226.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…a241backed Musetti | 9c | 205.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Sonego | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Musetti | 77c | 199.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…6f8cbacked Musetti | 75c | 198.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sonego | 27c | 191.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Musetti | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Musetti | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Musetti | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Sonego | 26c | 149.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Sonego | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sonego | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Musetti | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Musetti | 74c | 136.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Musetti | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Musetti | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Sonego | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sonego | 25c | 110.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sonego | 27c | 109.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Musetti | 11c | 100.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Sonego | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Sonego | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Sonego | 21c | 94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sonego | 15c | 85.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Sonego | 26c | 76.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.