TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb3bb…e7a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST4153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.2%+$26.95
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$51.27
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Jaime Fariabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.5
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.46
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Cristina Bucsabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108%+$211.04
Chennai Open: Polina Iatcenko vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Shuai Zhangbacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$31.44
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$242.37
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$108.07
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Chennai Open: Mei Yamaguchi vs Francesca Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jiangxi Open: Elena Pridankina vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$17.66
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$35.76
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$63.76
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.96
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$64.94
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$99.39
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.27
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$412.41
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$280.72
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$174.62
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$97.33
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$89.33
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$111.2
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$118.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$111.31
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.31
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$42.02
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$48.89
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$81.01
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.2%+$232.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.96
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.64
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$402.78
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$105.78
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.43
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.25
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$192.3
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$177.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$274.55
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$477.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$84.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$57.2
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.