Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe196b1bcf9391c7460869607243918334feef895715362dba0356fe832796d40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McDonaldof Mochizuki, McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed McDonald | 30c | 19,477$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.55 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mochizuki | 70c | 11,347$7,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,943.17 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Mochizuki | 53c | 4,677$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.06 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…c709backed Mochizuki | 47c | 2,705$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mochizuki | 49c | 2,630$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…e5babacked McDonald | 53c | 2,516$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mochizuki | 38c | 2,091$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.9 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed McDonald | 53c | 1,590$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Mochizuki | 57c | 1,508$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.04 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Mochizuki | 49c | 1,404$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.65 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed McDonald | 71c | 1,372$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed McDonald | 54c | 1,007$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed McDonald | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mochizuki | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed McDonald | 53c | 967.14$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.88 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…160fbacked Mochizuki | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…e39abacked McDonald | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed McDonald | 70c | 857.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…740abacked Mochizuki | 49c | 838.56$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Mochizuki | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed McDonald | 55c | 646.46$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked McDonald | 55c | 633.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.38 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mochizuki | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed McDonald | 47c | 462.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Mochizuki | 32c | 454.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…2352backed McDonald | 68c | 442.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Mochizuki | 46c | 413.49$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked McDonald | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mochizuki | 47c | 393.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc750…cfd3backed Mochizuki | 75c | 375.76$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mochizuki | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Mochizuki | 49c | 370.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mochizuki | 31c | 369.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mochizuki | 35c | 341.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed McDonald | 54c | 336.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed McDonald | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed McDonald | 52c | 290.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mochizuki | 21c | 280.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Mochizuki | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Mochizuki | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked McDonald | 59c | 240.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed McDonald | 60c | 202.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Mochizuki | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Mochizuki | 60c | 196.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…3d0bbacked McDonald | 54c | 188.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked McDonald | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed McDonald | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Mochizuki | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed McDonald | 52c | 169.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked Mochizuki | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…2d85backed McDonald | 68c | 146.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed McDonald | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Mochizuki | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…ed77backed Mochizuki | 43c | 108.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed McDonald | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed McDonald | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed McDonald | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked McDonald | 55c | 91.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed McDonald | 74c | 82.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed McDonald | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Mochizuki | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mochizuki | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…522dbacked Mochizuki | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked McDonald | 70c | 57.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Mochizuki | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked McDonald | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…87d1backed McDonald | 52c | 51.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Mochizuki | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…5437backed Mochizuki | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Mochizuki | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…7c06backed McDonald | 56c | 40.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed McDonald | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Mochizuki | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Mochizuki | 50c | 37.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed McDonald | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed McDonald | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…3298backed Mochizuki | 34c | 33.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…a241backed McDonald | 74c | 33.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Mochizuki | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…deaebacked McDonald | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked McDonald | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed McDonald | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed McDonald | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…20e2backed McDonald | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed McDonald | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed McDonald | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed McDonald | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed McDonald | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed McDonald | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked McDonald | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…d448backed McDonald | 64c | 27.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Mochizuki | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed McDonald | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed McDonald | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…1edebacked Mochizuki | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed McDonald | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed Mochizuki | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed McDonald | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…4f8dbacked McDonald | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…5073backed McDonald | 70c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.