TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffd6…8373

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT8755.2%48 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankinabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Diletta Cherubinibacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Mauthausen: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Choinskibacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
La Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
La Bisbal: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.37
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Belozertsevbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$14.65
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.27
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanovbacked Amir Omarkhanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodeschbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.58
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullinbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.