TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes37c25,000$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,249.9610952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c15,715$10,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c4,937$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.7245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No65c4,683$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.15240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c4,305$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.8293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No73c3,974$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c2,832$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.6513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes36c2,794$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0105563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.113423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x214d…cd09backed Yes26c2,400$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No64c2,080$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.019150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c1,829$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes35c1,751$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c1,657$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.1627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c1,511$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes36c1,464$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c1,461$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes36c1,458$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.762343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes33c1,345$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.352941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c1,299$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes5c1,250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes28c980.16$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes24c867$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.858169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes36c841.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes38c834.26$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes7c751.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.622330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes33c731.74$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes36c667.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes33c609.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes35c573$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No66c527.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2713752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed No66c527.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked No66c527.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed No66c527.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed No66c527.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked No66c526.23$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.232343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed No67c519.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed No67c519.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed No67c519.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed No67c519.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed No67c519.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No63c499.96$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.992365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes12c492.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.13357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes37c450$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c403.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9341943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3270%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes36c399.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.972250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked No75c377$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No64c312$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3217651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c299.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes36c280.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes36c279.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec05…2b59backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes37c275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69b4…1df1backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be5…e623backed Yes36c260.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c251.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c234$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef4…a780backed Yes22c216.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes35c193$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No64c186$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes20c184.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f81…2a7bbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c176.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No73c175.19$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.644151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c161$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes18c154$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No62c144.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395c…4415backed Yes36c137.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes28c135.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…03efbacked Yes10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8da…9311backed Yes30c127.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.