TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec05…2b59

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+880.4%+$1,320.61
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$135.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$54.4
Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sevilla finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$13.37
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$188.1
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$16.83
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$17.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.