TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$628,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$665,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2eb1…4ea4backed Yes68c338,466$230,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,309.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No32c132,300$42,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,3362740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No32c70,501$22,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,560.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No29c68,040$19,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,746.31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No32c36,681$11,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,603.484050%20 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c29,168$9,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,333.812951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes69c29,096$20,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,019.666251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No29c26,980$7,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,824.0750%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c20,413$6,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,532.264740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes71c18,399$13,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.77538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No31c12,027$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.9343532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Yes69c8,931$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.532030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No33c7,151$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.671435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No31c6,586$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.781942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No32c6,216$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.3638748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c5,920$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.3569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes68c4,996$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.7116652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c4,128$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.5523046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c4,020$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.893,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No32c3,919$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.0410041%41 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5dc…6625backed No29c3,512$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes71c3,193$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes68c3,098$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No31c3,092$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.68448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8703525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes67c2,311$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.511,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No31c1,980$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7928755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes70c1,979$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.5734547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No16c1,684$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4448141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No32c1,630$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1755058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No32c1,624$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.843145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No31c1,592$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4816647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No31c1,458$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.997443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes68c1,442$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5515540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.929100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes68c1,400$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9329855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No4c1,322$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.076232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c1,284$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9381732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes69c1,280$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No30c1,280$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.881241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No30c1,277$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.12222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No12c1,037$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6340744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No31c1,012$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.626755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32048146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-80.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes69c967.5$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes69c945.16$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2931675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Yes69c919.33$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+133.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes68c910$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes70c908.19$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No29c898.7$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6214447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No28c888.24$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.715952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Yes72c819.33$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.416149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c810.01$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.251,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes69c785.13$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3917549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No7c733.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.53728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab5…2663backed Yes68c721.18$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes68c721.17$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.785538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No13c701.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6964043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes71c694.74$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.47560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No31c685.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.417758.4%45 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No29c660$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb03…791fbacked Yes69c652.66$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No32c622.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2749647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c571.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4511447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No31c531.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes69c501.81$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.561070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes68c500$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes68c495.15$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.452479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.32759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes68c490.4$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c480.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.522,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c478$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes71c464.87$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes68c432.71$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.472955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes69c426.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No31c424.48$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Yes70c422.26$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes70c420.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.266147.5%29 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes70c420.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2613066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45c0…7a69backed Yes71c410$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No32c383.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.784025%10 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdeb…ed70backed Yes72c382.36$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes69c369.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes70c350.39$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.