TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9f0…f1b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$83.15
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.14
France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.43
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.07
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$82.88
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$392.6
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$321.68
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$580.59
South Africa to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+527.5%+$151.63
Korea Republic to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Ghana leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.4
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.56
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.35
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$219.96
Austria to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.58
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.9
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.33
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$292.95
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$251.85
Japan to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$108.72
Tunisia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.06
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.61
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$83.92
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$147.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8.89
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.85
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$192.86
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$20.58
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$117.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$30.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.08
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.42
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$35.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.