Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc1c35a06e2df130935a89a6342e6fd9da8171c46719a506c98327ff7354be8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 12,198$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 6c | 9,256$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.38 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 8,880$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 7,623$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 6,048$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 4,831$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 4c | 2,577$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…4ae5backed Yes | 4c | 2,494$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 5.9%4 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 6c | 2,409$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,286$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 7c | 2,174$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 762.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 2c | 756.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 744.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 5c | 698.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 5c | 681.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 7c | 645.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 7c | 537$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 8c | 479$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 467$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 6c | 463.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 5c | 399.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 5c | 375.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 7c | 329.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 5c | 302.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Yes | 6c | 291.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 8c | 251$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 7c | 247.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 8c | 242$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 7c | 200.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana leading at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.