Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a9b1e48a37f7dbf8c5304d5b0acf4a5ab36ab047ebe7b58efceade256cc8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 31,612$19,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,019.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 14,654$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 30c | 9,900$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.95 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 9,184$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 80c | 8,098$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.58 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 29c | 6,681$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.71 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 6,594$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 6,463$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.42 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 4,335$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.03 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 67c | 2,929$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.43 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 2,846$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.79 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,339$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.11 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 2,147$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 2,059$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.66 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,973$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 1,781$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 1,629$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 12c | 1,623$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,495$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.2 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,421$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.03 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 31c | 1,331$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.7 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yes | 38c | 1,257$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.34 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 31c | 1,250$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.31 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed No | 70c | 1,228$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.44 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 41c | 1,185$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 50c | 1,179$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.07 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,129$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.99 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Yes | 33c | 1,077$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.38 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Yes | 54c | 1,051$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 56c | 988.85$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.62 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 910$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 77c | 765.65$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 67c | 675.82$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 614.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 55c | 550.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…1894backed Yes | 37c | 528.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…8b24backed Yes | 30c | 525$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 80c | 391.73$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 48c | 338.66$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 324.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 32c | 299.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 37c | 277.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 80c | 257.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 58c | 243.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…cd39backed Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked No | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 71c | 216.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 49c | 205.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 203.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 200.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78c…e12cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 52c | 176.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 167.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 30c | 159.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…500ebacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…443ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 38c | 142.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…4e70backed No | 64c | 140.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9424…13aabacked Yes | 55c | 127.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…6ce7backed Yes | 80c | 121.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes | 59c | 115.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 33c | 112.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…53acbacked Yes | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked No | 12c | 102.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 54c | 101.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 23c | 99.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…d036backed Yes | 44c | 96.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 34c | 95.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- Ghana leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.