TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fcc…e083

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,328.97
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.39
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.96
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$664.23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$9,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,675.01
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,299.74
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.33
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.81
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,268.45
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.17
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$596.38
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$1,954.26
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.88
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,975
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.44
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.58
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$671.48
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$335.59
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,844.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$435.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.99
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$454.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64%+$191.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$570.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+87.2%+$915
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.67
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.1
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$550.35
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.79
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+462.3%+$496.29
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$324
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$91.14
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$136
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$140.86
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$334
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$168
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$303.56
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+194.1%+$198
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$85.4
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$126.14
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$314.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$168.83
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$548.57
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$64.97
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102.81
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+614.3%+$178.14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,206.22
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$48.22
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+316.4%+$381.16
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$592
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$163.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$233
Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Levante UD vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$7,364.99
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,765.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$181.9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.4%+$81.45
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+900%+$900
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$219
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.34
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+290.5%+$1,133.22
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,822.22
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$967.93
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.2%+$370.55
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.5%+$32.3
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$612.62
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$202
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.42
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,542.86
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,014.08
Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$65.1
Will FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.42
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+153%+$278.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$170.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$9,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$9,235.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.