TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c9,236$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.691,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c7,985$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.271,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes14c5,548$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.661729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc12…8093backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes11c2,838$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0810051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes15c2,587$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38810733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c6…74fcbacked Yes5c2,294$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick10cpaid+457.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c2,246$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes29c1,693$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes14c871.01$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.720042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes14c860$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.41921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes14c859.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.846119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes30c801.17$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.865525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes14c742.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes14c720$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes34c647.06$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c622.64$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes14c614.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8113931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes19c605.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes14c557.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes22c418.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1be…7830backed Yes33c417.65$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.211225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes13c399.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes27c378.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.776817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes27c377$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.634637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes27c374.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes15c353.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes19c316.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes13c309.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.28650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+201.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes11c308.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.719540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed Yes10c292.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c258$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.554845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…03c0backed Yes14c242.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c204$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8838253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259624%23 W · 73 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes15c198.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No77c194$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…07cebacked Yes35c188.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.99944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab6f…067bbacked Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c146.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d54…067bbacked Yes18c143.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1955…d215backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes13c130.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5213149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa243…6080backed Yes18c130$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes15c123.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6936…be97backed Yes30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+120.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes26c101.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.372642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3301…b4b6backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes14c92.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.695152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6b…a5d5backed Yes17c90.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…6bc8backed Yes12c90.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c81.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes15c80.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.038359%49 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac05…37febacked Yes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb18…d006backed Yes14c78.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes34c73.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes15c73.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61dd…68efbacked Yes15c73.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No77c71.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7822356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x308a…eed3backed Yes15c69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+573.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe272…a2c1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No75c59.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.756943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes32c49.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c34…7ef3backed Yes24c43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…89d4backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01cc…1f09backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked No69c17.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x919e…cb9bbacked No68c14.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.