TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f06…980b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST4153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$114.08
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$110.96
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurbacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tauson vs. Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Ferro vs. Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+199%+$59.7
Ostrava Open: Fiona Ferro vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Ferro (+1.5)backed Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+207.9%+$124.76
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Royer vs. Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+130.1%+$52.03
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+105%+$105.04
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$652.63
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.62
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$293.48
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+82.1%+$164.18
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$359.76
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Pegula vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$95.45
Will Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300%+$120
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$101
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.