Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65737e53db10eeabb086a29e22a204ec9fe7e814e86b411cf49a6d74b060375c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe173…9af5backed Yes | 56c | 1,460$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,344$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 48c | 820.67$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 712.82$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 445.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 340.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 316$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 57c | 292.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 42c | 210.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 57c | 184.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 165.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 143.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 45c | 126.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 45c | 89.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 54.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 58c | 46.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 57c | 41.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 39.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…17b4backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Yes | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…d48bbacked No | 43c | 29.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…3087backed No | 43c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…3b6abacked No | 43c | 26.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…375cbacked No | 43c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…0f10backed Yes | 59c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…101abacked Yes | 58c | 24.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…6e1bbacked Yes | 59c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…5b07backed No | 43c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…4457backed Yes | 59c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed Yes | 59c | 17.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.