Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0215ce61bcaed7366ec765e606080de93e178a095af37dc4e556f2bc25a60803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 56c | 11,073$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Under | 44c | 11,052$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 9,993$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe173…9af5backed Over | 68c | 4,104$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Under | 59c | 3,999$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 3,329$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.95 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 70c | 1,465$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 929$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 669.6$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 56c | 610$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 66c | 531.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 446.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 412.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 336.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 55c | 287.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 280.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 68c | 210.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 170.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 167.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 65c | 155.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 38c | 138.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 57c | 92.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 56.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 52c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 55c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 59c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 49c | 22.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 65c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1179backed Over | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.