TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbed1…1094

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST5865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.59
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$213.88
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.6
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.4
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.4
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.82
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$10
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Hertha BSC vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.3
Holstein Kiel vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$48.6
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+54.1%+$92.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$6.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$124.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,240.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.