Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d6d1c79cf6a4eb4dce268a76c26ba8cc12ae991ef7c59779a44c6a3e741d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Top Esports, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE | 36c | 7,806$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.54 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Top Esports | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.99 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Team WE | 35c | 6,640$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.82 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Top Esports | 65c | 6,120$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.59 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Top Esports | 0c | 4,065$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Top Esports | 65c | 2,330$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.56 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Top Esports | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Top Esports | 65c | 1,177$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.97 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team WE | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.2 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…6783backed Top Esports | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Team WE | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Team WE | 42c | 932$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 37c | 810.69$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.76 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team WE | 36c | 600.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.52 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…85f7backed Team WE | 77c | 380.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Top Esports | 29c | 295.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Team WE | 79c | 251$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Top Esports | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Team WE | 34c | 213.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Top Esports | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Top Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Team WE | 38c | 137.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team WE | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Top Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team WE | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Top Esports | 66c | 91.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Top Esports | 65c | 86.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Top Esports | 60c | 64.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Top Esports | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Top Esports | 65c | 53.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Top Esports | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…67a5backed Top Esports | 40c | 46.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Top Esports | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Team WE | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…b7cabacked Top Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…cdfbbacked Top Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 5?Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 5?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.