Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd8f20cac032a98d50786112c3051b43b06221fb36458d676f7cc779318b509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Under | 43c | 6,715$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.93 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Under | 68c | 2,759$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.08 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Over | 42c | 2,404$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.94 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Over | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.96 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 32c | 2,125$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.46 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 34c | 1,962$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.07 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…d670backed Under | 2c | 1,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Over | 39c | 1,854$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.38 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over | 30c | 1,774$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.99 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Under | 65c | 1,610$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.77 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Under | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 5c | 1,152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…7076backed Under | 61c | 924.4$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.88 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed Under | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Over | 33c | 900$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 45c | 547.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 516$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.24 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 73c | 458.96$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Under | 75c | 354.38$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 35c | 342$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Over | 33c | 274.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Under | 68c | 227.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 67c | 213.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Over | 24c | 205$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…e879backed Over | 31c | 197$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 36c | 160$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Under | 69c | 128.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 72c | 98.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Over | 33c | 79.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 543 | 43.6%237 W · 306 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 30c | 68.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Under | 68c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Over | 63c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 5?Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 5?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.