TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e01…2c8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Stocks, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT14840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$1,001.98
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.45
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.78
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.79
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$659.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$260
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$193.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$420
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+198.5%+$664.99
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$309.04
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.4%+$548.33
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$95.68
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$175.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.1%+$505.3
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250.41
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,699.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$944.89
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$95
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.3
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+300%+$750
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$278
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$362.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.