TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Shopify Rebellion11c16,184$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.841,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion14c14,110$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.221,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion11c12,876$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.332,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Shopify Rebellion11c5,680$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.764040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Shopify Rebellion12c4,351$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4876030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion10c3,670$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.22,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion14c3,482$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.712,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Shopify Rebellion15c3,185$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7814840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Shopify Rebellion6c3,137$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2234536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion8c3,090$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.161,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Shopify Rebellion16c2,944$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47148440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Shopify Rebellion11c2,763$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9432941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion11c2,506$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.72,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shopify Rebellion15c2,373$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8830421.7%66 W · 238 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion11c1,872$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.932,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion16c1,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22496350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Shopify Rebellion13c1,345$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5415821.5%34 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Shopify Rebellion16c1,318$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.934346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Shopify Rebellion12c1,060$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0350041.6%208 W · 292 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Shopify Rebellion21c1,019$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.215146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion16c975.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.761,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion15c949.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.641,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Shopify Rebellion12c874.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.196556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Shopify Rebellion11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.668360.2%50 W · 33 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Shopify Rebellion16c734.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.518121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion15c711.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7685942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion15c711.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.761,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion12c684.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5158420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Shopify Rebellion17c683.03$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.933042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Shopify Rebellion16c650$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Shopify Rebellion13c607.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.231,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Shopify Rebellion17c559.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0716240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…65bebacked Shopify Rebellion17c556.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Shopify Rebellion14c553.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.447512%9 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion15c518.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Shopify Rebellion15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Shopify Rebellion15c463$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.456746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Shopify Rebellion11c430.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3311859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Shopify Rebellion16c428.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0678043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ec…069ebacked Shopify Rebellion8c428.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion16c402.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8242250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion16c395$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.219744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Shopify Rebellion16c302.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4335323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion6c284.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7844129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Shopify Rebellion11c272.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.796425%16 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion17c261$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3740145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Shopify Rebellion6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed Shopify Rebellion17c238.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1423032.2%74 W · 156 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion5c216.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2246436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LYON78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Shopify Rebellion11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce41…c2c2backed Shopify Rebellion9c164.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.193043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion15c156.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.491,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb7…9185backed Shopify Rebellion16c153$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Shopify Rebellion15c151.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6631242.6%133 W · 179 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fa…97debacked Shopify Rebellion16c145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Shopify Rebellion17c139.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.752433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb50c…2f91backed Shopify Rebellion16c135$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion18c132.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Shopify Rebellion16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.997833.3%26 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Shopify Rebellion13c117.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1864435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Shopify Rebellion15c108.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6434834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Shopify Rebellion14c104.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6924941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Shopify Rebellion11c104.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3956317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked LYON80c97.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5134442.2%145 W · 199 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LYON80c79.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Shopify Rebellion16c72.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8de…ed08backed Shopify Rebellion20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2812220.5%25 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741d…e409backed Shopify Rebellion15c67.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Shopify Rebellion16c65.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.484843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a5…f2cbbacked Shopify Rebellion20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe87…2065backed LYON80c29.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.844770.2%33 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed LYON80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515370.6%108 W · 45 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LYON77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.