Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37bf08e68c59c52137b220fcd364ea768efb9c2139020e4394071dc609736be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed LYON | 60c | 16,555$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,643.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 9,769$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.65 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 7,408$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.11 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 6,193$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.96 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 4,514$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.75 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 3,942$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.77 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LYON | 75c | 3,501$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.63 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 80c | 3,300$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 2,855$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.18 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 2,843$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.11 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON | 79c | 2,592$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.89 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 2,570$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 2,512$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.22 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LYON | 73c | 2,290$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.43 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 2,095$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.51 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…a65abacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,945$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.65 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,916$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,900$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LYON | 65c | 1,870$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.37 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON | 80c | 1,820$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.9 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 1,667$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.21 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed LYON | 77c | 1,576$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 1,529$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.49 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked LYON | 65c | 1,516$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.54 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed LYON | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 78cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,490$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,400$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LYON | 59c | 1,376$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.47 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,375$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.54 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed LYON | 78c | 1,363$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,151$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 971.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LYON | 60c | 891.09$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.44 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 869.69$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.69 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 831.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 830.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 795.29$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 78c | 779.51$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 777$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 760$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 754.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 723.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 722.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 708.19$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…ae41backed LYON | 74c | 696.16$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 672.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 77c | 640.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 625.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 617.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed LYON | 76c | 603.6$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 591.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 572.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LYON | 77c | 569.01$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 542.43$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 521.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 509.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed LYON | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 491.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed LYON | 71c | 487.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 477.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked LYON | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 443.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 410.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 407.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 407.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 394.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked LYON | 75c | 394.39$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed LYON | 61c | 390.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 360.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 314.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 314.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 309.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 299.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 296.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 291.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 288.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 287.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 280.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked LYON | 78c | 278.45$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 274.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON | 67c | 274.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 274.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 261$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked LYON | 76c | 255.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed LYON | 63c | 233.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 231.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 231.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 218.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 216.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked LYON | 66c | 215.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LYON | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 199.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 196.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.