Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef63f9413d4ec886ce4f1a215cbdd8abb00379831dce5ba760b968ea22bcb8c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON | 69c | 6,535$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.95 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed LYON | 77c | 5,516$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 4,744$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.1 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 4,088$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.96 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked LYON | 50c | 2,883$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.7 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON | 75c | 2,777$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.25 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed LYON | 68c | 2,300$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed LYON | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,886$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed LYON | 67c | 1,816$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.37 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 1,520$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 1,490$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,411$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed LYON | 71c | 1,393$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,316$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 1,312$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 1,308$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.27 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 1,260$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.45 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,255$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 1,242$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 1,192$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON | 72c | 1,169$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.25 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LYON | 74c | 1,147$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed LYON | 73c | 1,096$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 1,047$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 904.43$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…5225backed LYON | 65c | 900$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LYON | 59c | 875.97$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed LYON | 68c | 865.41$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed LYON | 75c | 857.72$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 856.37$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 799.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed LYON | 70c | 745.8$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 631.52$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 599.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 550$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 541.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 537.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 526.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked LYON | 69c | 498.56$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed LYON | 75c | 482.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 475.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 474.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 469.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 468.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 460.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 451.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed LYON | 70c | 441.87$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 428.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 421.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 420.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 415.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 408.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 404.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 395.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed LYON | 76c | 391.45$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 391.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 385$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed LYON | 68c | 369.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked LYON | 75c | 367.76$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed LYON | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…257abacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 348.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 346.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 328.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d2f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 326.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 319.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6b97backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed LYON | 66c | 297.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 293.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LYON | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…a319backed LYON | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 275.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LYON | 58c | 260.63$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 258.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 226.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked LYON | 71c | 215.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked LYON | 77c | 206.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked LYON | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed LYON | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…2c67backed Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 199.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 450 | 51.6%232 W · 218 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 187.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 173.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed LYON | 70c | 172.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…cee0backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 171.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 169.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LYON | 71c | 168.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 165.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.