TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe308…25cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
689
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT66437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 664 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,551.4
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.34
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,700
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.5
Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,924Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$8,250.32
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,850
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,577Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,384.66
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$14,915.5
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,800
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,195.64
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,170
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$972
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+141%+$5,850.19
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,700.13
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22,239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$23,177.3
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,348.98
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,846
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,149.93
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,643.11
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$4,648.36
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,004.22
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,090.56
Showing 25 of 664 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,154.46
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,931.93
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$861.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$4,882.35
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,125
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$3,882.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,161.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.