TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming64c45,522$28,917 inWon+$16,605.261,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Weibo Gaming36c39,520$14,227 inLost-$14,227.1518447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Weibo Gaming37c29,744$10,926 inLost-$10,926.3738235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Invictus Gaming64c20,200$12,928 inWon+$7,2728444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Weibo Gaming40c10,008$4,004 inLost-$4,004.2266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Invictus Gaming64c10,000$6,400 inWon+$3,60059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f78…f679backed Invictus Gaming60c7,755$4,653 inWon+$3,102666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Weibo Gaming36c6,156$2,216 inLost-$2,216.0537647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Weibo Gaming36c5,467$1,968 inLost-$1,96812236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Weibo Gaming35c3,489$1,237 inLost-$1,236.6264443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Invictus Gaming60c2,000$1,200 inWon+$80043539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…2d87backed Invictus Gaming63c2,000$1,268 inWon+$731.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked Invictus Gaming66c1,894$1,250 inWon+$644.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Weibo Gaming34c1,785$607 inLost-$606.671,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Invictus Gaming65c1,555$1,010 inWon+$545.5710648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Invictus Gaming63c1,500$945 inWon+$5551,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Weibo Gaming37c1,160$429 inLost-$429.29259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Weibo Gaming50c1,150$574 inLost-$5741,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Invictus Gaming64c1,101$700 inWon+$400.6386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming34c1,092$366 inLost-$365.92,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Weibo Gaming36c1,000$360 inLost-$36031337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Weibo Gaming37c667$247 inLost-$246.7924656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Weibo Gaming36c555.56$200 inLost-$20011753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Invictus Gaming64c498$319 inWon+$179.2829952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Invictus Gaming67c403.39$271 inWon+$132.11,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Invictus Gaming41c395.8$162 inWon+$233.6835054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Invictus Gaming66c302$201 inWon+$101.262,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Invictus Gaming64c250$160 inWon+$9027050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Weibo Gaming36c236.11$85 inLost-$8537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Weibo Gaming38c200$76 inLost-$7633254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Invictus Gaming40c185.56$74 inWon+$111.091,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c9…52afbacked Invictus Gaming60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.672665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Weibo Gaming36c138.89$50 inLost-$5022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Invictus Gaming64c125.7$80 inWon+$45.2510933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbe…ad59backed Weibo Gaming59c98.14$58 inLost-$58.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Weibo Gaming39c93.56$36 inLost-$36.411,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Weibo Gaming34c74$25 inLost-$25.1660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Invictus Gaming55c60$33 inWon+$27.2639859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Invictus Gaming43c55.22$24 inWon+$31.661,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Weibo Gaming38c52.05$20 inLost-$2061150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked Weibo Gaming39c51.28$20 inLost-$206968.1%47 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus Gaming61c43.64$27 inWon+$17.021,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Weibo Gaming38c39.47$15 inLost-$1512849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Weibo Gaming37c31.72$12 inLost-$11.691,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Invictus Gaming62c28.44$18 inWon+$10.8175150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Invictus Gaming65c25$16 inWon+$8.7510556.2%59 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed Invictus Gaming64c23.43$15 inWon+$8.431650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Invictus Gaming62c20$12 inWon+$7.628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Invictus Gaming63c20$13 inWon+$7.3422548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8d…ffbebacked Invictus Gaming64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.633253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.