Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9860b1a64e2f3c122be47c05cfa3730a958d0a0742996ec2a063098cb4bb0c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 47c | 417.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 355.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 53c | 309.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 308.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 236$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 53c | 153.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 54c | 92.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 47c | 91.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 51c | 89.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 59c | 85.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 54c | 84.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Under | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 33c | 76.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 63.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Under | 54c | 41.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Under | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed Under | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 29.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 65c | 26.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 49c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Under | 54c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.