Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e4ce5efc0c10ef9b9e9973d6bbd07034626a2d67a25617934ed13eaa2f73cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Team Heretics, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Heretics | 5c | 39,449$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.24 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 73c | 17,010$12,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.09 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Team Heretics | 3c | 13,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics | 11c | 12,918$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.18 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 12,560$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.39 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 12,080$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.92 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics | 37c | 11,537$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.68 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Heretics | 30c | 11,467$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.06 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Heretics | 32c | 11,272$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Heretics | 42c | 10,831$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.15 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Heretics | 28c | 10,000$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.57 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Shifters | 63c | 9,653$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.5 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 36c | 9,646$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.76 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Heretics | 29c | 9,143$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.11 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Shifters | 73c | 8,846$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.58 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics | 34c | 8,427$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.35 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Team Heretics | 27c | 7,724$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.9 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shifters | 67c | 7,100$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.33 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Shifters | 67c | 6,595$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.35 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Shifters | 71c | 6,168$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.28 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shifters | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Shifters | 60c | 5,962$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.66 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shifters | 73c | 5,493$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.97 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Heretics | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Heretics | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Heretics | 36c | 4,722$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shifters | 65c | 4,242$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.35 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Shifters | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Shifters | 75c | 3,718$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.35 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Shifters | 78c | 3,496$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.11 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shifters | 69c | 3,466$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.13 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shifters | 35c | 3,150$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.62 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Shifters | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Shifters | 75c | 3,048$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 30c | 2,998$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.91 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Shifters | 69c | 2,896$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.16 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shifters | 73c | 2,784$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.48 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Shifters | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,394$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shifters | 72c | 2,374$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.65 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Heretics | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Heretics | 36c | 2,236$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.25 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Heretics | 2c | 2,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shifters | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Shifters | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Heretics | 35c | 1,970$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.2 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Team Heretics | 26c | 1,933$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.57 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 1,911$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 33c | 1,892$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.04 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 32c | 1,891$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.63 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Shifters | 66c | 1,804$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.58 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shifters | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Heretics | 31c | 1,749$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.78 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Heretics | 32c | 1,615$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.93 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Shifters | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shifters | 63c | 1,511$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.77 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Team Heretics | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Shifters | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Shifters | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Team Heretics | 21c | 1,430$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Shifters | 76c | 1,387$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Team Heretics | 4c | 1,383$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,347$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.13 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Team Heretics | 26c | 1,300$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,300$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Shifters | 61c | 1,296$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.78 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Shifters | 53c | 1,292$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.33 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shifters | 64c | 1,237$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.31 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Heretics | 35c | 1,197$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Heretics | 33c | 1,183$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.39 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Shifters | 61c | 1,132$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Shifters | 61c | 1,116$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.11 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shifters | 63c | 1,104$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 1,100$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shifters | 73c | 1,090$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Heretics | 32c | 1,060$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shifters | 71c | 1,021$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shifters | 67c | 1,019$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Heretics | 49c | 1,015$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 1,009$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Heretics | 33c | 1,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.61 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shifters | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Heretics | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked Team Heretics | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Shifters | 67c | 914.29$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Team Heretics | 15c | 882.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Team Heretics | 33c | 866$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…deb1backed Shifters | 67c | 839.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shifters | 65c | 832.19$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shifters | 71c | 800$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 793.07$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 56c | 793.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Team Heretics | 13c | 789.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Shifters won
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.