Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8094852345dea9aa35a98ffe8432a9cba1ee1db57a45ad5a86d554a462aab8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Team Heretics, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Heretics | 39c | 10,997$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.24 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Team Heretics | 40c | 10,000$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.58 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 34c | 6,608$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.26 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Heretics | 41c | 6,209$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.62 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shifters | 79c | 5,570$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.06 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Heretics | 40c | 5,227$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.68 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Team Heretics | 41c | 5,102$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.82 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Shifters | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Shifters | 62c | 4,640$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.19 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Heretics | 42c | 4,444$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Shifters | 74c | 4,259$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.9 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Shifters | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Team Heretics | 38c | 3,690$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Shifters | 65c | 3,097$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.6 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shifters | 62c | 3,016$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.02 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shifters | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 2,962$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.24 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Heretics | 38c | 2,942$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.14 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Heretics | 37c | 2,786$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.68 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 65c | 2,723$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.54 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shifters | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Shifters | 59c | 2,365$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.7 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Team Heretics | 41c | 2,316$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shifters | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Shifters | 62c | 2,117$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.25 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 2,041$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.66 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Shifters | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.9 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.11 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Shifters | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed Team Heretics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shifters | 61c | 1,980$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.2 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shifters | 62c | 1,920$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics | 20c | 1,890$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shifters | 77c | 1,836$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.05 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 1,759$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 1,740$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.91 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Heretics | 35c | 1,730$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.4 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Shifters | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shifters | 63c | 1,514$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Heretics | 24c | 1,490$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.58 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,449$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Heretics | 38c | 1,434$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Shifters | 58c | 1,335$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.64 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Team Heretics | 17c | 1,067$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Team Heretics | 19c | 1,049$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…263abacked Team Heretics | 37c | 1,037$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.88 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shifters | 65c | 1,019$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shifters | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Shifters | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Heretics | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 12c | 1,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Heretics | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shifters | 63c | 963.99$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.32 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…27a3backed Team Heretics | 42c | 957.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Shifters | 73c | 957$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shifters | 74c | 918.55$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.98 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Heretics | 39c | 900$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.73 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shifters | 65c | 898.75$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Heretics | 36c | 808$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Team Heretics | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Shifters | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters | 71c | 792.29$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shifters | 63c | 736.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shifters | 80c | 714.79$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shifters | 63c | 714.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Shifters | 70c | 713.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Shifters | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shifters | 60c | 683.95$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Shifters | 64c | 666$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Shifters | 63c | 665.08$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Heretics | 10c | 664.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Shifters | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Heretics | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shifters | 62c | 523.6$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Heretics | 38c | 522.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Team Heretics | 25c | 519.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Heretics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed Team Heretics | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 33%132 W · 268 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Team Heretics | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Shifters | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Shifters | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Heretics | 41c | 499.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 497.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Heretics | 4c | 493.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics | 16c | 492.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Team Heretics | 37c | 487.89$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shifters | 61c | 464.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 59c | 462.39$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 16c | 459$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…afdabacked Team Heretics | 8c | 454$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 176 | 16.5%29 W · 147 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shifters | 64c | 445$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Team Heretics | 22c | 438.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Team Heretics | 29c | 435.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Team Heretics | 38c | 418.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Team Heretics | 37c | 416$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Team Heretics | 41c | 411.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Shifters | 63c | 365.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Shifters won
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.