TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX40c65,950$26,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,878.5355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed DN SOOPers61c35,513$21,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,744.881747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed DN SOOPers61c30,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.9754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers60c24,999$14,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.481,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX39c24,615$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,915.566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BNK FEARX38c8,008$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.2367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed DN SOOPers60c5,633$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.9752538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed DN SOOPers60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed DN SOOPers61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9857945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX37c2,100$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.971,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed BNK FEARX39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22011249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed DN SOOPers63c1,800$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13443539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked DN SOOPers60c1,665$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed BNK FEARX39c1,521$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5143640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked BNK FEARX39c1,503$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.5632145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked BNK FEARX39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0526155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed BNK FEARX40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed DN SOOPers57c1,123$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers61c1,069$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.781,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed DN SOOPers61c1,016$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62048742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers61c983.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9886144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked DN SOOPers61c888$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.681,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX39c770$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.721154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed DN SOOPers61c735.36$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked DN SOOPers74c647.3$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47914848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed DN SOOPers63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed BNK FEARX38c509.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed BNK FEARX39c363.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.447933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked DN SOOPers35c341.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4532442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers63c340.32$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.42,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked BNK FEARX62c334.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2312462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed DN SOOPers62c315.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8911643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BNK FEARX37c299.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9660538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked DN SOOPers62c291.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.830255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked DN SOOPers62c281.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5322142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed BNK FEARX38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1618849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed DN SOOPers63c251.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1548852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed DN SOOPers61c241.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5112937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked BNK FEARX38c238.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6212145.5%55 W · 66 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX37c217.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.081,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…ee91backed DN SOOPers63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268949.4%44 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked BNK FEARX39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3111248.2%54 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DN SOOPers38c188.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.261,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed BNK FEARX39c179.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX27c179.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.62,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed DN SOOPers62c172.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10716035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked DN SOOPers55c171.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.121,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed DN SOOPers62c162.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.512341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed DN SOOPers60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed BNK FEARX59c147.54$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3116344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked DN SOOPers76c146.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3426844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked BNK FEARX64c141.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0616647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed BNK FEARX39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0316346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed BNK FEARX39c133.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3317744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…cfaabacked BNK FEARX39c121.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.893050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed BNK FEARX24c120$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed DN SOOPers60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked BNK FEARX45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed BNK FEARX67c101.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7161150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked BNK FEARX38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed DN SOOPers61c97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5860849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed DN SOOPers62c91.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5765063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed BNK FEARX44c90.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0332142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked DN SOOPers63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked DN SOOPers62c70.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7716853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked DN SOOPers60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked DN SOOPers37c62.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX41c56.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4821859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed BNK FEARX39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2831352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed DN SOOPers62c50.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0179745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed DN SOOPers60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed BNK FEARX40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked DN SOOPers62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BNK FEARX44c45.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.661,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked DN SOOPers63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530057.7%173 W · 127 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked BNK FEARX39c38.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked BNK FEARX40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+67.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked BNK FEARX65c34.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BNK FEARX38c34.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed DN SOOPers63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011351.3%58 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked DN SOOPers60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed BNK FEARX40c27.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.275961%36 W · 23 L+8.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked DN SOOPers62c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked DN SOOPers59c26.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9357333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked BNK FEARX40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513348.9%65 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbd…5aa7backed BNK FEARX40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+131.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…b7c4backed DN SOOPers70c24.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.088160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed DN SOOPers58c24.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1521953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a4…bba6backed DN SOOPers76c24.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ecc…af6cbacked DN SOOPers62c24.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1b…3d70backed DN SOOPers63c23.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.046154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…a348backed DN SOOPers63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed DN SOOPers60c17.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2822548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed BNK FEARX78c15.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.526154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.