TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e35…a348

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$9.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$15.07
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.72
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$8.25
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$6.34
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Turma do Pagode · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$16.86
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$47.67
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$31.09
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$14.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$14.49
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.62
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$7.22
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$49.15
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.05
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$28.91
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Dream Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$36.27
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$59.74
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$49
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$179
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+93%+$46.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$18.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$40.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.