CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022645876da0eef8e09462fdcdf1de651286e7ea9555b055aba826cc070e5da7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic | 53c | 15,048$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked SPARTA | 47c | 9,786$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.4 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked SPARTA | 46c | 8,850$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.43 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 32c | 6,980$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed fnatic | 52c | 6,220$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.79 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…3540backed fnatic | 46c | 5,186$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed SPARTA | 49c | 5,100$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.07 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked SPARTA | 48c | 3,970$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.39 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SPARTA | 71c | 3,296$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked SPARTA | 64c | 3,162$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.38 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SPARTA | 61c | 2,268$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.18 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked SPARTA | 53c | 2,072$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.55 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed fnatic | 37c | 1,913$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.53 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed fnatic | 51c | 1,888$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.74 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SPARTA | 70c | 1,756$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed fnatic | 26c | 1,731$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked SPARTA | 66c | 1,727$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.49 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 62c | 1,669$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed SPARTA | 53c | 1,503$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.11 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…efcabacked SPARTA | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed SPARTA | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 55c | 1,190$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…c8b6backed fnatic | 7c | 1,189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed SPARTA | 79c | 1,183$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed fnatic | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed fnatic | 35c | 1,068$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.64 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 65c | 1,025$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…f0f9backed fnatic | 40c | 1,018$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked fnatic | 38c | 1,014$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked fnatic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 78c | 918.75$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed SPARTA | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed fnatic | 53c | 888.21$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 68c | 831.53$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed fnatic | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked fnatic | 21c | 765.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed SPARTA | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed SPARTA | 59c | 699.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed SPARTA | 68c | 651.07$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic | 43c | 641$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…aec1backed fnatic | 51c | 633.01$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked fnatic | 48c | 630.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed SPARTA | 48c | 625.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked fnatic | 37c | 617.46$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic | 27c | 613.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked fnatic | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed fnatic | 51c | 567.85$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed fnatic | 47c | 544.63$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked fnatic | 53c | 532.58$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 61c | 524.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked fnatic | 51c | 523$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed fnatic | 27c | 508.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked SPARTA | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked fnatic | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked fnatic | 25c | 498.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed SPARTA | 49c | 496.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked fnatic | 34c | 470.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked SPARTA | 49c | 463$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed SPARTA | 43c | 458.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 68c | 422.49$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed SPARTA | 45c | 416.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed fnatic | 49c | 400.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed fnatic | 26c | 399.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed fnatic | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed fnatic | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed SPARTA | 51c | 377.73$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed fnatic | 50c | 369.22$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 43c | 360.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 43c | 345.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed fnatic | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed SPARTA | 62c | 333.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked SPARTA | 48c | 332.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked fnatic | 53c | 315.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked fnatic | 29c | 309.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked fnatic | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked fnatic | 53c | 293.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed SPARTA | 70c | 285.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…4c3dbacked fnatic | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed fnatic | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed SPARTA | 49c | 239$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed fnatic | 41c | 219.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 69c | 219.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed SPARTA | 50c | 215.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed fnatic | 52c | 213.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed SPARTA | 71c | 210.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked fnatic | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 24c | 209.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed fnatic | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…cc8fbacked fnatic | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed fnatic | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed SPARTA | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked fnatic | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed SPARTA | 47c | 198.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked fnatic | 28c | 197.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked SPARTA | 71c | 196.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic | 17c | 194.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked fnatic | 25c | 194.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed fnatic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.