CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8916c95bbc0492915897dc4151aa5e3bcc388d57e04814cab0dbebb3c0a793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof SPARTA, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 49c | 4,323$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed fnatic | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed fnatic | 63c | 1,440$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked fnatic | 33c | 828.06$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.06 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed fnatic | 47c | 644.95$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SPARTA | 51c | 617.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 58c | 515.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed SPARTA | 48c | 484.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed fnatic | 51c | 418.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked fnatic | 32c | 309.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed fnatic | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed SPARTA | 28c | 217.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 68c | 151.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked fnatic | 40c | 149.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic | 54c | 126.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SPARTA | 55c | 110.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 61c | 107.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 61c | 105.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked SPARTA | 55c | 99.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked fnatic | 51c | 98.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 52c | 87.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 64c | 86.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 55c | 72.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SPARTA | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked SPARTA | 33c | 58.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic | 40c | 58.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SPARTA | 37c | 50.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SPARTA | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 41c | 45.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed fnatic | 43c | 42.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed fnatic | 54c | 39.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed SPARTA | 57c | 37.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed fnatic | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 52c | 35.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed fnatic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 47c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed SPARTA | 48c | 21.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.