TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa113…284e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.45
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.6
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$220.12
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$401.14
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 4 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.66
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$394.38
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.23
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$384.7
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.32
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$135.84
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.95
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$256.57
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$435.77
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+107%+$286.83
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$207.45
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.22
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.41
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.06
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.05
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$415.4
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$965.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.