CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f698a3854875d7b8361ec6ea1254a7af821dca9c01ec5d3cdba6d795f18275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Game Hunters | 53c | 2,787$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed largadosypelados | 53c | 2,557$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.28 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Hunters | 44c | 703.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked largadosypelados | 48c | 554.83$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.83 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed largadosypelados | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked largadosypelados | 54c | 423.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked largadosypelados | 52c | 380.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Game Hunters | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Game Hunters | 44c | 353.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked largadosypelados | 51c | 289.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Game Hunters | 22c | 266.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Game Hunters | 43c | 259.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Game Hunters | 40c | 230.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Game Hunters | 54c | 168.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed largadosypelados | 49c | 155.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed largadosypelados | 49c | 142.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed largadosypelados | 43c | 138$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed largadosypelados | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed largadosypelados | 78c | 106.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Game Hunters | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados | 46c | 82.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed largadosypelados | 49c | 74.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked largadosypelados | 71c | 52.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Game Hunters | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed largadosypelados | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Game Hunters | 40c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked largadosypelados | 49c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.