CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca4a6cace49113d355bbcc80aab8e72a78c9d86838222dc1768ac2adf7b8297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked largadosypelados | 54c | 1,278$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Game Hunters | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 342 | 39.5%135 W · 207 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked largadosypelados | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Game Hunters | 48c | 395.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed largadosypelados | 52c | 355$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Game Hunters | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Game Hunters | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Game Hunters | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Game Hunters | 40c | 82.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Game Hunters | 46c | 73.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Game Hunters | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Game Hunters | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed largadosypelados | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked largadosypelados | 57c | 39.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Game Hunters | 43c | 39.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed largadosypelados | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.