Lol · resolved market
LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0795a4afe9dc646618accb3446495e505961197641090cf582fd84c9b37d40b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Supernova, Conviction
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Conviction | 64c | 12,802$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.94 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…7192backed Supernova | 47c | 4,750$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…ce19backed Conviction | 53c | 4,689$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Supernova | 40c | 4,262$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.23 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Conviction | 55c | 2,744$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.89 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Supernova | 33c | 2,661$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.1 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Conviction | 69c | 2,572$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.22 | 215 | 56.7%122 W · 93 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…0e69backed Supernova | 43c | 2,546$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5bbcbacked Supernova | 45c | 2,239$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Supernova | 11c | 1,521$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Supernova | 36c | 1,173$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.33 | 483 | 38.7%187 W · 296 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Supernova | 1c | 1,159$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Supernova | 41c | 1,017$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Supernova | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Supernova | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Conviction | 42c | 992.91$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.89 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Supernova | 26c | 917$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.65 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Supernova | 52c | 801.88$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Supernova | 49c | 773.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Supernova | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Supernova | 36c | 748.03$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Supernova | 47c | 721.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Supernova | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Supernova | 21c | 682.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Supernova | 12c | 665$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Conviction | 56c | 628.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Supernova | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Supernova | 40c | 624.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Conviction | 80c | 620.26$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Supernova | 45c | 607.29$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Supernova | 30c | 602.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…da36backed Supernova | 42c | 578.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Supernova | 35c | 572.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Conviction | 54c | 545.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Conviction | 49c | 506.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Supernova | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Supernova | 41c | 478.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Supernova | 39c | 436.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed Conviction | 54c | 428$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Supernova | 33c | 422.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Conviction | 65c | 421.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Supernova | 10c | 414$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…f8bcbacked Conviction | 55c | 384.74$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Conviction | 52c | 361.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Conviction | 42c | 358.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Conviction | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…64b9backed Supernova | 9c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Conviction | 57c | 341.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Supernova | 43c | 340.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Conviction | 59c | 320.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Supernova | 48c | 284.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Supernova | 49c | 280.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Conviction | 55c | 266.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Supernova | 36c | 258.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 193 | 35.2%68 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Supernova | 43c | 257.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Supernova | 19c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Supernova | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 70c | 234.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Supernova | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 761 | 29%221 W · 540 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Supernova | 46c | 219.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Supernova | 36c | 208.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Conviction | 68c | 208.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Supernova | 44c | 202.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Supernova | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…21a6backed Conviction | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction | 56c | 197.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Supernova | 24c | 196.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Conviction | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Conviction | 70c | 188.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Conviction | 56c | 181.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 711 | 57%405 W · 306 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Supernova | 14c | 179.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Supernova | 44c | 177.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 238 | 48.7%116 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Conviction | 74c | 173.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Conviction | 58c | 173.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Supernova | 34c | 170.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Supernova | 44c | 168.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Supernova | 43c | 167$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 213 | 34.7%74 W · 139 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Supernova | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Conviction | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Supernova | 22c | 164.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Conviction | 71c | 160$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Supernova | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Conviction | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Conviction | 69c | 149.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Conviction | 68c | 147.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Supernova | 45c | 142.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Supernova | 34c | 142.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Supernova | 50c | 135.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Supernova | 41c | 123.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked Supernova | 49c | 122.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction | 59c | 114.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Supernova | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Supernova | 46c | 106.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Supernova | 26c | 106.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Conviction | 52c | 105.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Supernova | 64c | 105.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Supernova | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Supernova | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)Supernova won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Supernova vs Conviction - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Supernova vs Conviction - Game 2 WinnerSupernova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.