TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4374…3d05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
737
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT34151.3%175 W · 166 L-26.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 341 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$26.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$16.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28%+$7
Showing 25 of 341 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT23748.5%115 W · 122 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$23.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$17.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$16.75
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: LEO vs Rich Gang (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Rich Gang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$16.56
LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$21.22
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.92
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.57
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$16.77
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sion: Murkel Dellien vs Ryan Nijboerbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Prague 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.09
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.96
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Cincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.17
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Daybacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.52
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$27.69
Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.41
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfilsbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.68
Brownsburg: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$14.04
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.35
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.22
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$17.58
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$19.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$13.1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$12.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$12.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$8.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66%+$9.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$18.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$65.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$23.29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$31.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$17.62
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$56.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$75.45
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73%+$35.83
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+60%+$16.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.58
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$60.83
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.58
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.03
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.84
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$52.9
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92%+$26.69
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$23.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.45
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$29.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.85
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$52.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$59.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$15.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.