World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210a92edc4794be9b8c6da1871cec5c4858c634e015b2f7ead05aea7a653b66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,848$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,151$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 7c | 1,137$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 1,034$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…760bbacked Yes | 41c | 914.29$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 873.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 23c | 842.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 700$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 37c | 652.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 39c | 495.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 462.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 30c | 395$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 336.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 288.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 273.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 69c | 272$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 40c | 254.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 67c | 239.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…8bd5backed No | 64c | 212.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 13c | 204.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 196$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 194.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 58c | 193.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 185.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 176.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 163.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 161.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 153.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 57c | 153.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 38c | 132.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 126.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 59c | 126.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 32c | 125.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 61c | 113.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…90cabacked Yes | 33c | 113.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 61c | 112.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 112$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…e6b8backed Yes | 40c | 109.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 102.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 66c | 100.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 69c | 94.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 90.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 90.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 57c | 87.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 84.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 46c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 76.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 59c | 76.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 46c | 73.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…eaaabacked Yes | 31c | 73.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 69c | 73.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 72c | 72.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 73c | 67.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 69c | 66.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 64.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 62c | 59.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…2ee9backed Yes | 37c | 55.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 30c | 55.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 51.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 57c | 50.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 26c | 50.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 47c | 50.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 50c | 50.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…29fdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed No | 58c | 47.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Yes | 43c | 46.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.