MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5b33ef213f53597584da0c194b9e333437c89afda8e6395039e29a85b44d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $750,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 197,803$92,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,789.36 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 107,133$57,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,281.34 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Yankees | 53c | 78,812$41,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,041.78 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 64,285$34,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,234.85 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 62,255$29,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,682.57 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked New York Yankees | 74c | 50,114$37,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.02 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 42,296$21,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,355.18 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 40,000$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,799.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 27,499$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed New York Yankees | 53c | 25,100$13,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,797 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 16,584$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.13 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 53c | 16,466$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,739.02 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 15,555$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 11,256$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.19 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 9,224$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.18 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 9,048$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 7,997$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.71 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 7,100$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 5,758$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.55 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 5,624$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 5,558$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.68 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 5,225$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.7 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 4,851$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.37 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 4,840$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.84 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.08 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,698$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,378$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.26 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 3,370$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.69 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,220$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.31 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 3,108$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.33 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,726$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.94 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,481$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.32 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.32 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…8c54backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,909$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…5aa3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,824$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,660$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.68 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,632$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.69 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,475$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.37 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,236$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,190$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,178$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.49 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.3 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,166$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…d000backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,105$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,063$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.72 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.71 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 909.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 849.57$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 819$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 816.9$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 66c | 791.95$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 745.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 53c | 743.64$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Yankees | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 702.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 62c | 700$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 670.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 637.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed New York Yankees | 49c | 629$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 585$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Yankees | 69c | 581.65$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 578.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 576$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 556.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 554.94$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 553.16$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.69 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked New York Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 539.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 65c | 533.08$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 522.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 479.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed New York Yankees | 54c | 448.65$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Yankees | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed New York Yankees | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 397.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed New York Yankees | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed New York Yankees | 53c | 384.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 380.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 79c | 327.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.