TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under57c361,975$207,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,055.7913856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over43c272,908$115,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,985.985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over46c55,555$25,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,679.781,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over43c20,940$9,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,003.994,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under53c12,901$6,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.2777647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under53c6,508$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.546,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c6,462$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c5,155$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c4,880$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.641,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over42c4,626$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.551,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Under56c3,633$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.374942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c2,728$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.532,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c2,724$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.016,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c2,057$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.15,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92016746.7%78 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7111743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under54c1,256$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.7964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c975.33$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.462,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c959.25$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.518,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43261352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over42c833$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.861,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under55c792.35$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5687750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28248653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under53c558.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8432652.5%171 W · 155 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over43c511.65$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c502.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.534,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over43c498$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.141,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over42c488.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.769956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over44c475$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.691,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c466$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.068,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c429$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.594,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over43c411.46$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5545045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over45c407.3$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18326545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c390$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Over43c352.52$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5813048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under56c307.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.540447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c304.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under55c278.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6895252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c244.62$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3941346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over42c238.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeca…0de6backed Under58c225.86$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.861978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under60c197.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1713864.5%89 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under64c196.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7455448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over36c196.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7431844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over42c191.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.331,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over43c189.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.112,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over43c185$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.551,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c157.51$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.431,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c148.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.979,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under54c130.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over44c110.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.334846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over32c105.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8455645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over42c102.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.061,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8785…49b1backed Under59c102.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under55c102.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under65c91.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.124050%20 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under58c85.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4734139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under56c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.935149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over52c64.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.74,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under48c64.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under59c61.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.067761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over43c59.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7748851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Under47c59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2714943.6%65 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over46c55.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6724149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6888247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under55c46.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over43c46.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c45.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.361,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Under55c36.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Under33c34.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.348440.5%34 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Under57c30.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.183850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over41c30.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3252750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under48c30.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.082,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over46c25.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c25.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.224,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7514745.6%67 W · 80 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6ea8backed Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.