MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f2427d815e9f7a69984bb46d511d72c82f16bdf5461a190e32eafeb3250a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 57c | 361,975$207,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,055.79 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 43c | 272,908$115,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,985.9 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 46c | 55,555$25,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,679.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 20,940$9,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,003.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 53c | 12,901$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.27 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 6,508$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 6,462$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 5,155$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 4,880$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.64 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 4,626$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Under | 56c | 3,633$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 2,728$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 2,724$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,057$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 1,256$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.79 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 975.33$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 959.25$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 55c | 792.35$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 53c | 558.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 511.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 502.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 43c | 498$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 42c | 488.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 475$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 466$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 429$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 43c | 411.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 45c | 407.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 43c | 352.52$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 56c | 307.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 304.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 278.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 244.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Under | 58c | 225.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 60c | 197.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 64c | 196.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 36c | 196.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 191.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 189.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 157.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 148.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 54c | 130.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 110.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 32c | 105.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 102.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…49b1backed Under | 59c | 102.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 102.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under | 65c | 91.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 52c | 64.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 48c | 64.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 59c | 61.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 43c | 59.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 46c | 55.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 55c | 46.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 45.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…296fbacked Under | 55c | 36.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 33c | 34.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 57c | 30.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 41c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 48c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 25.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 25.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6ea8backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.