TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over56c56,666$31,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,732.891,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under44c31,041$13,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,382.8655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c29,462$13,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,505.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under44c14,494$6,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,116.634,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over49c14,199$6,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,957.53630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over53c11,755$6,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,229.5386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc163…aed8backed Over56c10,682$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c10,038$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c6,069$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.471,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c4,787$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under44c4,426$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.3618860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c4,096$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.072,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over56c3,570$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c2,962$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,480$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.488,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c2,145$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.614,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37011464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under61c975$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.594,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under45c909.09$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under44c863.95$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.052,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c836$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.298,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c763.57$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6947350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33632850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over56c585$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.61,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under45c431.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Under49c414.29$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under44c319.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over51c317.59$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9775248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under48c288.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9310143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under46c272.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0855645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under43c271$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4722448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under44c238$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.421,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under45c227.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9656253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2224350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under47c218.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.973355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0c…66f7backed Under49c201.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.815541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under44c196.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2241346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under51c185.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.828749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under48c170.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3742451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under60c169.42$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.921,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over49c162.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.921,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under45c153.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.816539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.862,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under42c123.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.134,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over54c120.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514053.6%75 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under45c109.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.182,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5144245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.471,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under62c93.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.121,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over56c87.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8929141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over56c76.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0178155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under61c75.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.252,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Over53c75.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.044940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under49c72.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.041,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under46c67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under45c59.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.983452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over56c59.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.065250%26 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over58c52.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3152750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa2…f1f1backed Over30c51.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over57c50.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5324149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c49.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.842,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over57c46.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7112050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over24c44.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under45c40.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4917550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Under76c39.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.545967.8%40 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.357243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1892…0920backed Over62c33.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Over54c33.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187139.4%28 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under45c30.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under46c30.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4822151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over51c28.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.558744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c27.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3267444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over57c18.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.568234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60f8…809cbacked Under64c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.